Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #187284

BC Rangers VS Warriors

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 08:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
14.89%
Draw
17.58%
Away
67.53%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.1585
Log loss
0.3926

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
58382afbdc3b29c336bc65afc93aec05376c87b5521b32a53394580e4ce379cd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →