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Frozen pre-match forecast · #187137

Temperley VS Chacarita Juniors

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.19%
Draw
30.33%
Away
21.48%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9408
Log loss
1.5380

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
8bd64a713c227f1e11a6651e579b6438aeeb15ba74f5a444e4b20482418e377b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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