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Frozen pre-match forecast · #187086

Rotselaar VS Tempo Overijse

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 18:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.61%
Draw
21.37%
Away
51.02%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3618
Log loss
0.6730

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
ea3c7f5701c1903e1d38b3614f9e9d86846355762af85f732902e6708efcbfd3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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