Frozen pre-match forecast · #186783
Osogovo VS Akademija Pandev
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 24 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 24 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 19.76%
- Draw
- 24.50%
- Away
- 55.74%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 1.0146
- Log loss
- 1.6215
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 24 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
- SHA-256
- 611f7f13b608738d8c723890189e0b215f9ca26e9f829af6696b1f1c4af1f0c3
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.