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Frozen pre-match forecast · #186762

FC Slutsk VS Slonim

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.16%
Draw
24.49%
Away
24.35%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3578
Log loss
0.6702

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
3de2f5d609492319f4c53def0a3c0b1d10284c2d2c8e5564a0af2d5e7f01f9f8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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