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Frozen pre-match forecast · #186745

IK brage VS Osters IF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.03%
Draw
23.36%
Away
31.61%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.7251
Log loss
1.1517

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
1742929e9cdbb41f076f0a237adff6d3bcd56f64abaac952e20f013eff3ed43e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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