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Frozen pre-match forecast · #186379

ROHDA Raalte VS HHC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
18.89%
Draw
20.64%
Away
60.47%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2345
Log loss
0.5030

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
b1a7be5c2160367622a577b81f4f6ae66a7bcadb8f6bde162b6e9a5f7d54061b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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