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Frozen pre-match forecast · #186339

Stabæk II VS Hinna

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
58.71%
Draw
17.83%
Away
23.46%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.0749
Log loss
1.7243

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
3bb86ee807988f249ca258d7de715fdc8f0cb49a6b087c9a91ddb279335805ec

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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