Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #186295

Collina d'Oro VS Dietikon

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.66%
Draw
25.90%
Away
34.45%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5499
Log loss
0.9249

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
f611abb9563875b50097a2039f6cb331653edb6c9ceb563906d9a2cb89934790

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →