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Frozen pre-match forecast · #18621

Ind. Yumbo VS Internacional Palmira

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:55 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 21:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.83%
Draw
32.78%
Away
29.39%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7491
Log loss
1.2245

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:55 UTC
SHA-256
c658c51ff191a349f5c41558690835d8f4cf847ff32d8e571038757e404ba0b8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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