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Frozen pre-match forecast · #186191

VIFK W VS PK-35 Vantaa W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
7.95%
Draw
12.05%
Away
80.00%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.5018
Log loss
2.5320

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
646b224971e7b9909251aa7c8907112f5e1a12bee566fb159d197ddd68e51bce

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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