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Frozen pre-match forecast · #185999

Hung Yen VS Long An

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
74.51%
Draw
17.29%
Away
8.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1016
Log loss
0.2942

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
014516c5256f2962a15681fa091837fd3e8f99536bad3fb95c0ecd333daeb247

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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