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Frozen pre-match forecast · #185958

Csepel VS Szolnoki MAV FC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.40%
Draw
21.99%
Away
30.60%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4186
Log loss
0.7464

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
7ece67c41a011599ec4e02ce0aac173a98cd011d25916cacd8941c82f1e2f9e6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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