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Frozen pre-match forecast · #185905

AFC Malmo VS Angelholms FF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.12%
Draw
23.01%
Away
20.87%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.9940
Log loss
1.5669

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
d68d09b601199d809c8c58346aa9ea749eac869ff54f2c96a92d70cbe3745605

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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