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Frozen pre-match forecast · #185898

IF Ready VS Konnerud

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
69.99%
Draw
15.58%
Away
14.42%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1351
Log loss
0.3567

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
75aecd45d3a0fa67a6c94736b659b274db777d60330ee15485397262dcc13966

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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