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Frozen pre-match forecast · #185886

Eyüpspor VS Kasımpaşa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 10:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
16.25%
Draw
23.42%
Away
60.33%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2386
Log loss
0.5053

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
9a7ac21d353d4368e415fea96696f1540fd97cb7e495035200b62f1114434d54

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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