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Frozen pre-match forecast · #18567

Rijnvogels VS Vvsb

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:54 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.43%
Draw
33.23%
Away
30.34%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7284
Log loss
1.1927

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:54 UTC
SHA-256
f8029a072bd8952987c73fd5b88565727f52a41dbc39cf434e4ec6cd09267efc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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