Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #185615

Mjallby AIF VS Hammarby FF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
16.46%
Draw
20.56%
Away
62.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.2064
Log loss
0.4624

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
0e3addc3ab6289e9426602a51d407151e985c23a5d71f0bfa2f991f4dd30b36b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →