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Frozen pre-match forecast · #185341

Bala Town VS Guilsfield

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 20:02 UTC
Match kickoff
06 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.16%
Draw
23.50%
Away
30.34%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 20:02 UTC
SHA-256
f702b258c9c82b47ed19a4d5569c3a88087427cf5b72307d7f21dd7441a92186

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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