Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #1849

Artis VS Slovan Liberec

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:23 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
16.37%
Draw
29.47%
Away
54.16%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8176
Log loss
1.2218

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:23 UTC
SHA-256
0a0affdd91a57ca0eb434e6b701a070b308612dd95febd40aafc7d6d1741cc0f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →