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Frozen pre-match forecast · #18457

Dynamos VS Herentals

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:52 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
23.70%
Draw
38.62%
Away
37.68%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8733
Log loss
1.4397

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:52 UTC
SHA-256
4d9917d789066352985475341b2c7689c5b7ae9c5063aa0d21c42e00a2e36598

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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