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Frozen pre-match forecast · #184545

Vvsb VS EVV

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.65%
Draw
22.44%
Away
28.90%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3975
Log loss
0.7204

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
9db3affa6f8ea489ca0a8e6a52bf937c319148650a4883e18b6f789599a3c614

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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