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Frozen pre-match forecast · #18452

Simba Bhora VS Chicken Inn

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:52 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
24.62%
Draw
31.81%
Away
43.57%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4802
Log loss
0.8308

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:52 UTC
SHA-256
7f4990c8aeb1567d98489b63ee984edca1083080d9f780c2d84234732c4e7c32

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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