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Frozen pre-match forecast · #18451

TelOne VS Ngezi Platinum

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:52 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
12.20%
Draw
44.31%
Away
43.49%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5142
Log loss
0.8140

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:52 UTC
SHA-256
5ea4a0d79e02beae3484e5a40237e31279a90d5750c4b60ccbd585ba9ac93573

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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