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Frozen pre-match forecast · #18416

Os VS Åsane II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:51 UTC
Match kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.45%
Draw
32.78%
Away
20.77%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4374
Log loss
0.7668

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:51 UTC
SHA-256
f41cf949e367718bf80fd678402d7a301f3ba2c577151a951a6b7e1f2137d78f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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