Frozen pre-match forecast · #184154
Canaa EC VS Planaltina DF
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 23 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 24 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 47.56%
- Draw
- 27.36%
- Away
- 25.08%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.4128
- Log loss
- 0.7432
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 23 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
- SHA-256
- 7ff2e85963f8ea6ebef73c1054e7e07d3c48dd83490831a714f07763b8742877
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.