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Frozen pre-match forecast · #18412

Brann II VS Fyllingsdalen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:51 UTC
Match kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 16:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.09%
Draw
34.24%
Away
19.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

7 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4466
Log loss
0.7746

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:51 UTC
SHA-256
63b8d9fc6c85643f919afa0ea363a7d48ebdca4b1301370d2efbb7c7765d0ee6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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