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Frozen pre-match forecast · #183729

OFI VS PAOK

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
20.45%
Draw
24.01%
Away
55.54%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9989
Log loss
1.5872

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
6f87f3deb73edf06a9d2b088ded325e9a3eb2940b6000e4f405e27dbd09cda03

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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