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Frozen pre-match forecast · #183636

Coruña VS Arenteiro

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.74%
Draw
25.32%
Away
25.94%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8502
Log loss
1.3494

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
fcfb7820db494c91e56c291923502e3c75ea7623a664f02459b51d49ce55f610

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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