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Frozen pre-match forecast · #183567

Mancha Real VS Alhaurino

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.73%
Draw
28.93%
Away
34.34%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
8a32ceb7849398ec3510c35336d54e6234e4aac53f19062239fe5b23f0c46324

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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