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Frozen pre-match forecast · #183329

CD Lunda-Sul VS Interclube

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.16%
Draw
32.27%
Away
34.57%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6704
Log loss
1.1038

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
1d16635569da7e6f54b7d01a73ef1e307e675aae939a39f3f1c416465c0a9fc8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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