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Frozen pre-match forecast · #183315

Sabah FA VS Qarabag

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.41%
Draw
24.53%
Away
35.06%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8558
Log loss
1.4053

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
987478a05e827c53e9d36f51808ee4e1ea801ba277405f57680f54999ac098cc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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