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Frozen pre-match forecast · #183282

Diegem Sport VS Rupel Boom

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.42%
Draw
23.70%
Away
37.89%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8733
Log loss
1.4398

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
72de5660a8b86f3bfc1e165628cf0cf60c8c80ab62ffcb6479b9ba7d7faae403

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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