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Frozen pre-match forecast · #183277

Biel-Bienne VS Cham

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
59.13%
Draw
21.38%
Away
19.49%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.0057
Log loss
1.5427

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
80dc20b50c22e85f213f81d8ac75d1941ba903308a45eff2e3d8d09437d15b68

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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