Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #183167

Bassecourt VS FC Wohlen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.01%
Draw
25.56%
Away
37.43%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6022
Log loss
0.9940

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
182ff09cff6efc93517db4cf2ec927c32bf1e75cb61ad22bf7fdc4e27589fab8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →