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Frozen pre-match forecast · #183085

Kavala VS Eleftheroupolis

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
61.34%
Draw
21.42%
Away
17.23%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.1073
Log loss
1.7584

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
756fb42e46d566dd9765515cd4146dd0d52360bf6f1c229864d8cee6245a09de

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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