Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #183020

Tuloy VS Mendiola

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.04%
Draw
19.98%
Away
33.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
SHA-256
85d30c89c3597eac82d43a0428748f3ea284e938c8299c954a9c1fbe5172a379

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →