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Frozen pre-match forecast · #182896

Sanluqueño VS Las Palmas II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.97%
Draw
26.95%
Away
22.08%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3618
Log loss
0.6739

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
2e67125ebc27845eb99de5fc4dea4498bc9d2d2f00c202d3a104eafb914591a5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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