Frozen pre-match forecast · #18286
Throttur Reykjavik VS Fylkir
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 19 Sep 2026 · 05:50 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 19 Sep 2026 · 16:15 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 48.91%
- Draw
- 27.11%
- Away
- 23.98%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.3920
- Log loss
- 0.7152
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- legacy
- Captured at
- 19 Sep 2026 · 05:50 UTC
- SHA-256
- cda4b5a90c7c67285746cd1cd6861b6322f9c8366c6f961f06ec7492e96c5276
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.