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Frozen pre-match forecast · #182630

CRB VS Londrina

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 21:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.27%
Draw
20.04%
Away
14.69%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1824
Log loss
0.4266

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
24afd186a526aebf93f2c5bf165de78f0f1e117d4fc90fa27cea9f8f2113513c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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