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Frozen pre-match forecast · #182418

Teleoptik VS TSC Backa Topola

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
21.30%
Draw
21.50%
Away
57.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.2748
Log loss
0.5586

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
20dde4e5b9e0345873d4ddc3e305147d9c06ae9390f227302b0a341574197087

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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