Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #182386

Frigg VS SF Grei

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.27%
Draw
18.78%
Away
33.95%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.6950
Log loss
1.0803

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
b087d1162d9f9e9be9cc175afe8e2575b2f1e719dcc9c64c02357edac19ac902

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →