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Frozen pre-match forecast · #182191

Clydebank VS Tranent Juniors

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
60.41%
Draw
22.12%
Away
17.47%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2362
Log loss
0.5040

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
7ba95f5aaa11a345a3ae71e1b94fc118990d156d2f5a67688bcba955a3e4e0f5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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