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Frozen pre-match forecast · #182187

Bo'ness United VS Forfar Athletic

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.17%
Draw
24.91%
Away
34.92%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5420
Log loss
0.9120

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
d70ba83476567c12d743e36bcf2a269157d27552d6f33c838ed426787f141912

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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