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Frozen pre-match forecast · #182175

Leek Town VS Bootle

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.17%
Draw
23.16%
Away
38.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
81e0f09a12b513f0147a3f0b56518fb31d7a94d345fe3a8491a2c67f14ccb827

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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