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Frozen pre-match forecast · #182049

Hadamar VS Eddersheim

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.44%
Draw
23.02%
Away
36.54%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

6 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5412
Log loss
0.9054

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
5cfb6853164a4db259853977b276bd1a40cca3269dd14bb9bb091f56123c04c6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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