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Frozen pre-match forecast · #1820

Austevoll VS Askøy

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:23 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.68%
Draw
33.29%
Away
39.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.5591
Log loss
0.9407

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:23 UTC
SHA-256
ed21ba1742d7ed6101dcd940abb785f85eddc4f8039d3b44b57a8cda18ca9140

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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