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Frozen pre-match forecast · #18178

Tarxien Rainbows VS Attard

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:48 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 18:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.84%
Draw
32.35%
Away
22.81%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4609
Log loss
0.8021

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:48 UTC
SHA-256
ccb466f24eacedd9d050c83ee1050a38ba0d5e73f2c09f4952695555368f5ac2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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