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Frozen pre-match forecast · #181651

VIFK W VS PK-35 Vantaa W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
7.95%
Draw
12.05%
Away
80.00%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.5018
Log loss
2.5320

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
3320f6000e64269592c936494a4d65b91da6fa16bdba6150b19652a262a7c44f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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