Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #181395

Ringsted VS Ishøj

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.99%
Draw
23.54%
Away
38.47%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8769
Log loss
1.4465

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
c725780709d28b5b47587c3e1d3fb9fe0589a452a37f96d93e568efcb7e3a7e1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →